Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.407147 1.651825 1.906822 2.190863 2.496949 2.815519 3.170824
2024-12-29 1.059899 1.403079 1.782621 2.226892 2.726627 3.266065 3.887301
2025-01-05 0.858359 1.246235 1.694350 2.236939 2.864290 3.556691 4.369120
2025-01-12 0.679531 1.089317 1.584529 2.204115 2.938917 3.766079 4.752384
2025-01-19 0.608674 1.051892 1.605434 2.313929 3.168536 4.142942 5.316713
2025-01-26 0.554710 1.027754 1.636298 2.430618 3.402446 4.522173 5.882116
2025-02-02 0.515687 1.017532 1.680167 2.559598 3.648269 4.913348 6.459972
2025-02-09 0.489642 1.021354 1.739365 2.705622 3.913325 5.326387 7.063019
2025-02-16 0.445068 0.992557 1.751604 2.789352 4.100376 5.645947 7.556311
2025-02-23 0.386918 0.936170 1.721773 2.815376 4.213575 5.875643 7.942792
2025-03-02 0.303287 0.828076 1.612731 2.732096 4.185999 5.932957 8.123005
2025-03-09 0.232998 0.730062 1.509787 2.650328 4.155070 5.982054 8.289868
2025-03-16 0.179067 0.653910 1.437220 2.611760 4.184742 6.113364 8.566745
2025-03-23 0.148473 0.616816 1.420970 2.649547 4.313100 6.367238 8.993425
2025-03-30 0.117942 0.572222 1.388554 2.661268 4.404733 6.573443 9.360484
2025-04-06 0.084866 0.511538 1.324917 2.624888 4.430514 6.695988 9.624876
2025-04-13 0.078967 0.517150 1.370416 2.745840 4.665205 7.080311 10.208842
2025-04-20 0.074556 0.525805 1.420814 2.873999 4.909833 7.477632 10.809443
2025-04-27 0.072176 0.539675 1.480109 3.015412 5.172610 7.898353 11.439437
2025-05-04 0.072189 0.560498 1.551605 3.175165 5.460528 8.351411 12.109878
2025-05-11 0.064261 0.555421 1.577216 3.266618 5.656366 8.688277 12.638088
2025-05-18 0.050736 0.527897 1.561304 3.295021 5.766225 8.915852 13.031777
2025-05-25 0.029732 0.460708 1.468475 3.204093 5.711299 8.932201 13.163751